The latest US presidential Elections 2016 poll tracker averages the last five polls released on RealClearPolitics happened in the swing state, states that regularly switch between Democrat and Republican between elections. Swing states, like Arizona, Florida, North Carolina, Ohio and West Virginia, are important for US Presidential Elections 2016 Poll Tracker as they have the power to swing the election and unfortunately till now neither Trump nor Clinton, could not hold a significant lead in these pivotal states.
Analyzing prior US Presidential Elections 2016 Poll Tracker prediction, it has been seen that, Clinton had held a prolonged double-digit lead over Trump. Though there had been little ups and downs in the Polls, Clinton got in the top securing a promise from Her Democrat Rival, Senator Bernie Sanders. Following a series of faux pas by Trump has put Clinton ahead in the US Presidential Elections 2016 Poll Tracker, around a six point lead.
Until Election Day on 8 November a lot can change as per history of the US Presidential Election. John Kerry had a similar lead over George W Bush in the presidential race in 2004 as Clinton’s current lead over Trump in the Presidential Race of 2016. So polling far away from the Election is unlikely to be reflective of the Final score. And after previous year’s surprise General Election Result, many political followers have lost faith in the Pollsters. Now, they prefer to look at the odds to predict the future.
Eventually on those odds Hillary Clinton has been favorite one since the end of February.
US Presidential Elections 2016 Poll Tracker for Arizona
Arizona, traditionally known as GOP titling state, has put Trump in a 5-point lead over Clinton, according to new CNN/ORC battleground state polls. Trump is the choice of 43% registered voters in Arizona, while Clinton is only to 38%. But it does not change the race notably as there is a tie between them in North Carolina. Trump’s lead in Arizona broadens to 7 points. Probable voters become a more meaningful subgroup as the election gets closer and voters settle on whether they will turn out and whom they will support. In Arizona, Trump is leading in both groups, by negligible 2 percentage points among whites with degrees and a far wider 30 points among whites without degrees.
US Presidential Elections 2016 Poll Tracker in North Carolina
Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are head to head in North Carolina, a state freezing its position as a long-lived presidential Election battleground. Clinton is at 44%, trump stands at 43% and Johnson at 11%. Stein will not appear on the ballot there. North Carolina could be troublesome to Trump’s campaign as he will be needed 15 votes from here to win the Presidential Race 2016.
Clinton also holds a wide lead in neighboring Virginia and in Pennsylvania as well as she tops Trump by 8 points among whites with college degrees in North Carolina. Among whites without degrees, Trump tops Clinton by huge 42 points, meaning that the education gap there stands at 50 points!
US Presidential Elections 2016 Poll Tracker: Issues for Flip-flop
In both states Trump tops Clinton for being more trusted to handle both the economy and terrorism while voters assume that Clinton is better able to handle foreign policy.
People of Arizona trust Trump more than Clinton on the Immigration Policy as well as on handling the health care by 6-point and 3-points lead in the respective issues.
On the other hand, Clinton tops in North Carolina for above both issues by 2-point and 5-point lead. She is also being trusted to do well with being a good commander in chief by 50% and shares better voter’s values by 47%, while trump is in 43% and 42% in both respectively.
However, Trump tops Clinton as more honest and trustworthy by 49% in both states to Clinton 39% and 33% respectively, also in the western battleground as a better commander in chief. Among veterans again Trump tops Clinton by 56% and 49% to 35% and 42% in both states respectively.
Participants in US presidential elections 2016 poll Tracker
The CNN/ORC polls in Arizona and North Carolina were conducted by telephone August 18 through 23. In Arizona, 1,003 adults were interviewed in English or Spanish depending on the respondent’s preference, including 842 registered voters. In North Carolina, the sample of 1,009 adults included 912 registered voters. The margin of sampling error for results among registered voters is 3.5 percentage points in each state.
Still, Clinton holds a big demographic advantage over Trump. A Washington post poll indicated that 69 per cent of non-whites and 52 per cent women favor Clinton, while 57 per cent of whites and men support Trump.
Don’t forget to check out First presidential Debate